Travis Smith: my resume, bio and photos back to the main blog page

Justin and the U.S. Dollar

posted at 6:56 pm
on Jul. 8, 2007

Comments: 3 so far

Permalink

 

Previous entry:
Canada Day

Next entry:
Girls, What Are *You* Doing Tonight?

Justin came over last night and we went to The Eatery.  I’ve put off blogging about him and Sue recently, because it’s a sad story.

They’ve decided to move back to New Jersey, to be closer to family and because Justin got transfered to a better job within Nokia.  They’ve found a nice house to rent near White Plains, and their son is going to have lots more space to play.

Sue’s also expecting again, and they’re thrilled about this.  The move’s totally paid for, and so far everything’s gone swimmingly.

Oh, whoops, I didn’t say who the story was sad for: it’s sad for ME!  It’s sad for Susie and I both, actually, because they were good friends who are now moving along, taking another route in the stream of life.  Our farewell dinner with them was about two weeks ago.

I feel irrationally responsible for their leaving: I know didn’t do a very good job in keeping in touch with them over the last year or so.  We saw them only rarely.  And sure, they probably would have moved anyway, and it’s not like we would have been the deciding factor or anything, but I do firmly believe that when you find good friends, special people in your lives, you have to work hard at keeping those people around.  Long-time friends are more valuable than anything.

And Justin will be the first to deny this: he’s virtually an honorary Canadian in how much he’s willing to forgive and be graceful about. Also, we’re looking aftre his cat this week so he has to be nice to us. smile

* * *

While Justin was over, we talked about our house selling in Pasadena, and about the U.S. exchange rate, which I’ve been aware of but not actively monitoring.  I just didn’t want to know, you know?  But Wikipedia tells all, and I found out that Friday, July 6th was the lowest the U.S. dollar’s been against the Canadian dollar in 30 years (and that’s not the first time in the past 30 days a new low has been set).  Ack!

For some perspective on how this U.S. dollar meltdown is hurting us, if our house in L.A. was worth $100,000 Canadian on February 1, it’s now worth only $88,000 in Canadian funds.

Furthermore, Hop Studios has many U.S. clients.  If we had to work 20 hours for U.S. clients to pay for our Vancouver rent in February, we now have to work 23 hours to pay the same rent. We’ve essentially just had a 13% pay cut.  I understand now why my Dad always used to watch the Nightly Business Report on PBS—his business was totally affected by the U.S. exchange rate because he bought his product from the U.S. and sold it to Canadian dealers.

I’m hoping and praying that the U.S. dollar doesn’t continue to flounder vs. the Canadian dollar, but the truth of the matter is, that so long as the U.S. housing market continues to slow, they’re going to try to buoy their economy by making their goods more affordable to other countries.  And as long as oil keeps increasing in price, Canada’s dollar’s going to go up, UP AND AWAY, all other things being equal.

* * *

I made an avatar of myself on the Simpsons Movie site. Their marketing so far has been brilliant, absolutely brilliant.  I’ve heard it go from “I hope this doesn’t suck” and “this show has jumped the shark” to “I can’t wait to see this movie, it looks amazing” over the past six months.  And the amount of publicity they’re getting out of the kwik-e-mart conversions is astounding.

This weekend, I saw Transformers, and was suitably impressed despite the flaws of the film.  I mean, robot helicopters fighting robot trucks?  That’s awesome.  Who cares if they basically forgot about 3 plot lines including several of the evil robots that just kinda ran away and were ignored for the rest of the film?  Who cares if an all-out battle between alien robots and fighter jets and marines that essentially destroys several city blocks of L.A. is purported to have been ignored by all major media and successfully covered up by the U.S. government.

Like I say, they blowed stuff up real good, and there were enough funny moments to keep you distracted the whole two hours.  Bread and circuses.

Overheard

“BBFF (Best Bacon Friends Forever)”

...who said it?

“I find myself thinking of a checklist Wozniak wrote a few years ago describing how to become a genius. His advice was straightforward yet strangely terrible: You must clarify your goals, gain knowledge through spaced repetition, preserve health, work steadily, minimize stress, refuse interruption, and never resist sleep when tired. This should lead to radically improved intelligence and creativity. The only cost: turning your back on every convention of social life.”

...who said it?

“Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things you didn’t do than by the ones you did. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream.”

...who said it?

“Ever have something in your teeth that you cannot stop tonguing?”

...who said it?

“ . . . the war situation has developed not necessarily to Japan’s advantage.”

...who said it?

Comments

 

 

Hey Travis,

I don't think you can pin this one exclusively on the US of A - the Loonie is also up strongly against the Euro.

-Justin

 

Posted by Justin  at  2:29 pm on Jul. 10, 2007

 

 

 

That's definitely true.

 

Posted by Travis Smith  at  9:19 pm on Jul. 10, 2007

 

 

 

As per Justin's comment, your particular circumstances with US dollar assets and Canadian expenses seems to have you suffering by both a strong Canadian dollar and a weak US dollar. Bad luck indeed.

The way I've understood it, the US is interested in a falling value of their dollar mostly because they're borrowing huge sums of money from foreign banks (Chinese banks for a large part) in order to finance their deliberate "What, me worry?" finance policy (tax cuts combined with increased military spending, mostly, I think). The loans are in US dollars, and if the US dollar falls by 10% then (effectively) the US debt has fallen by 10% and it's easier to pay interest on it (with new foreign loans).

But it's not quite working for the part of the foreign debt that's against China, and that's why they're complaining that China has locked its currency to the US dollar. "They're cheating", US says, when really they should be saying "They're messing with their currency, and that's preventing us from getting our dinner for half the price". grin

What I haven't found an answer to yet is what will happen to Canada's economy when/if the US economy tanks (if and when the foreign investors allow it to tank) and the US has to start working for a living and paying back its debt. Trade-wise Canada will suffer if the US market loses its steam, and in that way we'll be paying for the current US finance policy.
But maybe that just out-weighs a free ride we've had over the past seven(?) years the US consumer market has been artificially good (and Canadian manufacturers has had a welcoming market in the US)?
Or will we effectively end up helping the US pay the bill for the party it just had?

I just don't know enough economics, and I haven't heard from someone who does. hmmm

 

Posted by Jan Karlsbjerg  at  1:01 am on Jul. 13, 2007

Add a Comment

 

 

Name:


Email:


Location:


URL:


Submit the word you see below:


 

 

 

Your comment:


Remember my personal info


Email me about follow-ups


 

Syndication Links


Click here for the main
XML feed for this blog.



Column only



Side links only



Quotes only

 

I'm Listening To

2007/07/29 11:50

Zero 7
Garden State

MetaBlogs

AboutBlogs

Clients

Humor

Journalism

Los Angeles

Mac

News

Personal 1

Personal 2

Photos

Politics

Other A-F

Other G-Q

Other R-Z

SocialNetworking

Tech 1

Tech 2

Travel

Vancouver 1

Vancouver 2

Vancouver 3

Vancouver 4

BizBlogs

Back to Main

 

Powered by
Expression Engine

 

Copyright 1995 - 2005

 

 

Want Column?

Enter your email address:


It will NEVER be shared.
Unsubscribe

You can scroll right easily by holding down the SHIFT key and using your scroll wheel. (Firefox users trying this will end up jumping to old Web pages until a) Firefox releases a fix, b) they change their settings like so.)